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甩币圈一条街
$BTC
翻一翻历史账本:上一轮牛市里,像样的回撤出现过六次,每次大多回吐两到三成;上一轮熊市最深跌了77%,这一轮熊市则回撤约53%。
牛熊的波动幅度正在一级一级收窄,这是明牌。
波动小了,想维持过去的收益,杠杆自然要往上加,所以现在看似普通的震荡,也能打出过去大跌才有的多头爆仓量。
照这个收敛节奏推,本轮牛市回调大概率落在10%—15%区间。
眼下这轮回撤已经接近尾声,别拿旧波动率套新行情。#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议 #SK海力士Q3财报在即,HBM4能否提振盈利?
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