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蓝哥blue
上一轮牛市一共走出 6 次级别回调，单次回调幅度集中在 20%-30% 区间。
上一轮熊市最大回撤 77%，本轮熊市最大回撤 53%。
能明显看到一个规律：牛熊的波动幅度在逐步收敛。
波动收窄的环境下，想要复刻过去同等收益，就需要抬升杠杆。这也解释了当下的现象：只是常规震荡，多头爆仓规模却堪比从前的大跌行情。
顺着波动收敛的逻辑推演，本轮牛市里的深度回调，幅度大概率落在 10%-15%。
目前这一轮回调，已经接近尾声。$BTC #本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议
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