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潮有信
美债收益率突然跳水,本质上是多重宏观变量如AI预期、地缘、选举交织下,资金重新定价的结果。
但这未必是风险资产的利好。
关键要看这是降息预期还是衰退恐慌驱动的。
如果是前者,流动性释放会推动BTC上涨。
如果是后者,避险资金只会躲进债市,风险资产将面临流动性抽离。
接下来重点观察美股和黄金的反应,如果是避险主导,BTC短线极易受到宏观情绪的冲击,需做好仓位管理。
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