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九键(回本版)
市场很多人押注10月FOMC暂停加息,将其视作利好。但一个关键问题:如果暂停早就被price in,决议落地之后,谁来接力买入?
9月刚加息25bp,利率3.75%-4%,暂停≠紧缩结束。
9月CPI、PPI数据显示通胀韧性仍在,能源传导风险还在。
币圈最大风险:不加息,但表态偏鹰。
只要美联储继续保留加息空间,短期情绪反弹很难走成趋势。
观察清单:决议措辞、鲍威尔讲话、美债收益率、美元、BTC能否守住价位。
一根急拉不等于趋势反转。#10月FOMC临近,美联储暂停加息还有哪些变数? $BTC $ETH

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