Post
wynn2026
周末没美股、没数据，但有件事在悄悄变化：美联储10月加息的概率，从本周PPI超预期后一度冲到30%以上，周五沃什讲话后已经跌回15%以下。
这就是BTC敢在8.1-8.2万区间晃的底气。链条很直：加息预期降温→美元和美债收益率松手→风险资产才能喘气。ETH也守住了2400。
但别急着乐观。市场给「圣诞节前涨回10万美元」标的概率只剩9.7%，长期看涨押注在撤。10月27-28日FOMC，才是这波反弹有没有后续的终局裁判。
问个实在的：手里有闲仓的话，FOMC落地前你会加，还是等会议开完再说？
#加密市场 #比特币
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