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陈副业
美国9月CPI数据出炉,全线高于预期:核心CPI年率2.6%(预期2.5%),月率0.3%(预期0.2%),通胀反弹的信号已经摆在明面上。
数据一高,美联储降息的脚步就得往后挪。降息预期降温,美债收益率容易往上走,比特币这类风险资产自然先承压。市场现在已经开始押注明年加息三次。
接下来盯两件事:美债收益率公布后的实际反应,以及现货买盘能不能接住筹码。利空落地后反手反弹的戏码,今年也见过好几回。
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