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恐龙博士🦖🦖🦖
大厂算法工程师 Weex alpha最佳人气奖 okx aiagent第5+Bg aiagent第4
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The focus for US stocks tonight is whether tech stocks can stop falling. I have opened a long position on two options.
Currently, the most obvious pre-market movement is Nvidia weakening, while other tech stocks have not fallen sharply in sync. The real question tonight is: will the selling pressure spread from a single leader to the entire tech sector?
Pre-market performance
It now looks more like an internal sector repricing rather than a market-wide panic.
Latest available quotes show:
Nvidia $NVDA: $176.46, -5.46%, clearly weaker than other tech stocks.
$AMD: $453.98, +1.10%, temporarily not following Nvidia's decline.
Nasdaq 100 ETF $QQQ: $655.42, -0.10%.
S&P 500 ETF $SPY: $739.03, +0.51%.
If Nvidia falls but AMD, other heavyweight stocks, and the broader market hold up, it indicates the market may be differentiating company risks; if other chip stocks also weaken after the open, it looks more like sector-wide selling pressure.
Tonight's observation
I will first watch the absorption in the first 30–60 minutes after the open, rather than betting on the initial price move.
Bearish scenario: selling pressure spreads.
If Nvidia opens lower and continues to hit new lows, AMD turns from pre-market gains to losses, and QQQ rebounds but fails to reclaim the upper range of the opening interval, then we need to be cautious of a failed rebound and further downside. At this point, whether selling has expanded is more important than "how much it has already fallen."
Bullish scenario: bad news absorbed.
If Nvidia opens lower but does not break new lows, gradually narrows its losses, other chip stocks remain strong, and QQQ's pullback finds support, I will reduce bearish bias. Bad news that doesn't cause a drop is itself a valuable signal.
Neutral scenario: heavyweight stock divergence.
If Nvidia remains weak but the broader market stays stable, it is more appropriate to treat this as individual stock risk rather than betting on a one-sided Nasdaq decline.
Today's situation with Huang Renxun (Jensen Huang) is likely due to the Democrats coming to power, a two-party struggle, and the Republican faction may not fare well afterward! Hopefully, the broader market can recover quickly!!!!
#JensenHuangAdmitsInfidelity #USStocks

Is Huang Renxun's affair really that powerful?
I heard the woman is a Chinese spy.
As a result, solana:8csyWk4JgpXACVKA3GzsQKksGahwme4MSmcNeFtCpump dropped 3% in the night session, Bitcoin and Ethereum crashed suddenly.
But the main reason for the crypto drop is that the Democrats want to thoroughly investigate Trump's crypto strength.
Old Huang has fully sided with the US. Remember Old Huang's speech saying Chinese people are the most hardworking hahahahaha 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣



Can we bottom-fish the US stock market rebound on Friday!!
Recently, the US tech stock sector has become increasingly interesting. On Thursday, AI-related assets experienced a significant sell-off, as the market began to worry about data center investments, financing costs, and the cash flow of AI companies. However, on Friday, there was a collective rebound: $NVDA closed at $188.70, up 3.91%; $AMD closed at $448.14, up 10.82%; $CRWV closed at $46.54, up 6.60%; $TSLA closed at $359.40, up 4.57%; $MSFT closed at $531.40, down 0.85%. $AMD rose more than 10% in one day, which looks very strong. But the question is: can a one-day rebound solve the valuation issues of the AI industry chain? I don't think so. What the market is really worried about now is not whether there is demand for AI, but: how much money will be needed for the continued expansion of data centers? When will these investments convert into revenue and free cash flow? Can highly leveraged computing power companies withstand higher financing costs? If the AI industry chain continues to rely on capital expenditure to drive growth, the market will sooner or later start to question: is revenue growth real, or is debt growing faster? Nvidia's orders and computing power demand remain strong, AMD continues to attract market attention, and giants like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle are still investing huge sums to build AI infrastructure. So I wouldn't simply say the AI narrative is over.
Recently, the US tech stock sector has become increasingly interesting.
On Thursday, AI-related assets experienced a significant sell-off, as the market began to worry about data center investments, financing costs, and the cash flow of AI companies.
But on Friday, there was a collective rebound:
$NVDA closed at $188.70, up 3.91%
$AMD closed at $448.14, up 10.82%
$CRWV closed at $46.54, up 6.60%
$TSLA closed at $359.40, up 4.57%
$MSFT closed at $531.40, down 0.85%
$AMD rose more than 10% in one day, looking very strong.
But the question is:
Can a one-day rebound solve the valuation issues in the AI industry chain?
I don't think so.
What the market is really worried about now is not whether there is demand for AI, but:
How much investment is needed for continued data center expansion?
When will these investments convert into revenue and free cash flow?
Can highly leveraged computing power companies withstand higher financing costs?
If the AI industry chain continues to rely on capital expenditures to drive growth, the market will sooner or later start asking:
Is revenue growth real, or is debt growing faster?
Nvidia's orders and computing power demand remain strong,
AMD continues to attract market attention, and giants like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle are still investing huge sums to build AI infrastructure.
So I wouldn't simply say the AI narrative is over.
But I also wouldn't assume the risks are gone just because of Friday's rebound.
Especially for companies like $CRWV, which are highly related to computing power leasing and data center financing, their prices are more sensitive to interest rates, credit risk, and capital expenditure expectations.
This market trend may soon show clear differentiation:
Companies with real orders, strong cash flow, and stable balance sheets may still find buyers after a pullback.
But those mainly supported by high valuations, long-term expectations, and continuous financing may experience increasing volatility.
My current understanding is:
The AI industry trend continues, but the "indiscriminate rise" of AI stocks may have ended.
Going forward, the questions should not only be:
"Is this company an AI concept?"
But also:
"Can its revenue keep up with investments?"
"Can its profits keep up with valuations?"
"Can its cash flow cover its debt?"
Friday's rebound shows the market hasn't completely given up on AI.
But the stronger the rebound, the more earnings reports and cash flow verification will be needed afterward.
AI is not over; next Monday the market and the broader index should be very exciting
#USStocks #AI #Nvidia #AMD

Nonfarm payroll data exceeded expectations, with 165,000 new jobs added in October and the unemployment rate falling back to 4.1%.
This data is not friendly to the market:
Employment is resilient, and the economy is not yet weak enough to require rapid easing; the US dollar and US Treasury yields may strengthen again, putting short-term pressure on risk assets.
So the current market is very conflicted:
Fundamentals suggest going short.
Strong nonfarm payrolls increase the likelihood of rate hikes, and valuation pressure remains on US tech stocks and the crypto space.
After much hesitation, I still opened a short position native to bitcoin. Could today be Black Friday / Doomsday?
#BlackFriday #Nonfarm #Doomsday

Recently, I saw the data update from @termix_ai, and what I care about more is not a single impressive number, but a question:
AI Agent is moving from "can it be done" to "is there anyone willing to pay to use it."
So far
Cumulative transaction volume is about 30.71 million USD
Indexed Agents exceed 1.32 million
Tasks completed total about 594,000
Page-displayed protocol revenue is about 614,000 USD
These data at least indicate that Agents are no longer just at the Demo or chatbot stage, but are trying to enter a more concrete service market:
Users post requests, Agents provide services, tasks are completed through on-chain escrow, settlement happens after delivery, and disputes enter arbitration.
This is quite different from how we usually use AI.
Previously, it was more about opening a tool yourself, inputting prompts, and repeatedly modifying results; but in the Agent marketplace, users can directly find Agents with specific capabilities to complete content, data, technical, or automation-related work.
I think what these platforms really need to validate are not how many Agents there are, but three questions:
1️⃣ Can Agents continuously provide effective services?
Growth in numbers is easy; the real challenge is whether delivery quality is stable and whether users are willing to reuse.
2️⃣ Can tasks form a real closed loop?
From quoting, escrow, delivery to settlement, every step must reduce trust costs. Only if the process is clear enough will users entrust real demands and funds to Agents.
3️⃣ Can the economic model operate long-term?
Platform transaction volume is just the starting point; later, active users, repurchase rates, task types, and actual Agent income must be considered.
TermiX currently aims to turn Agents into service providers who can be discovered, hired, reviewed, and settled.
This narrative is more grounded than "AI will change the world."
Because the real Agent economy ultimately isn’t about who has the bigger story, but about:
Whether anyone posts tasks,
Whether Agents complete tasks,
Whether funds are willing to pay for results.
I will continue to follow TermiX’s subsequent task quality, user retention, and actual Agent income, not just track transaction volume growth.
If Agents can truly transform from tools into service providers, AI’s next phase might not just be "helping people answer questions," but directly participating in work, collaboration, and value exchange.
@termix_ai
#TermiX #AI #AgentEconomy #Web3
After reading @Jackyi_ld's analysis, I am currently holding no positions and watching.
My judgment is:
If the price repeatedly fails to break higher and then falls below 80,000–80,300, we need to be cautious of the rebound ending and retesting support downward, at which point we will observe around 78,000.
Of course, if volume increases and the price stands above 81,200 and continues to break through 82,600, holding on the pullback, I will go long.
Currently, I hold no positions, neither chasing longs nor rushing to short out of caution.
This rebound indeed has strength, but I think there are still several hurdles to clear from regaining the moving average to "starting the second main upward wave." Breaking upward may not be that easy.
1. The 20-day moving average has been reclaimed but still needs a pullback confirmation. According to Binance spot daily data, the 20-day moving average is currently around 80,300 USD, and the price is temporarily above it.
This is a positive signal, but the price is not far from the moving average. If the pullback holds, it is more favorable for continuation; if it falls back below the moving average and the rebound fails to recover, beware that this reclaim could be a false breakout.
2. The 4-hour indicators are relatively strong but that does not mean the resistance has disappeared.
Currently, the 4-hour RSI is about 65.9, MACD is above the signal line, and the histogram is positive, indicating rebound momentum remains.
This does not mean a bearish divergence or that the indicators have turned bearish yet.
But stronger indicators do not guarantee the price can easily break through the resistance above.
Previous rebound highs have not been surpassed, let alone the resistance ahead.
3. The recent surge peaked near 81,196 USD, then oscillated above 80,000.
For me, the price must first effectively break and hold around 81,200, then look at the 82,600 mentioned in the original post. Before that, discussing 86,000 or even higher targets feels premature in terms of timing.
Currently, it has broken through 80300 and stabilized above the 20-day moving average. The next step requires a strong breakthrough of 82600 to usher in the second main upward wave, once again challenging the strong resistance at 86. If it breaks through 86, it will target 97,000 and 104,000. This is what we call the current bull market trend. Previously, the pullback at 86 was considered a correction within the bull market trend. Although there was a pullback, the logic was not to short because a quick rebound could happen at any time. These past two days, I have been closely watching for bottom-fishing opportunities. Bitcoin withstood the Binance black swan event. I didn't expect the Republican Party to lose so thoroughly. I hesitated once and missed out on 1000 dollars. Around 77, we started to realize and bottom-fish, calling for a rebound triggered by the 40-day downward line correction. The hardest part of trading is that various external factors affect your execution.
The results of the U.S. midterm elections are in: the Democratic Party has taken control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives.
This means that the U.S. is very likely to enter a phase of "divided government between the White House and Congress" for the next two years.
Democratic control of Congress does not necessarily mean the market will plunge; the Republican Party still holds executive power, which also does not guarantee that policies can be quickly advanced.
The real keywords are:
Checks and balances, negotiation, delays, and increased policy uncertainty.
Impact on the U.S. economy
The market will focus on:
Whether fiscal policy can continue to expand
How tax and government spending negotiations proceed
Whether the debt ceiling and budget bills pass smoothly
Whether there will be significant adjustments in regulatory policies
If the partisan divide on fiscal and budget issues widens, it may temporarily reduce policy certainty, and businesses and investors might delay some decisions.
On the other hand, stronger congressional checks and balances may reduce market concerns about rapid implementation of radical policies.
So this is not purely negative or positive, but rather:
Slower policy progress and a market more sensitive to negotiation outcomes.
Impact on U.S. stocks
U.S. stocks may continue to experience style rotations and increased volatility in the short term.
Tech stocks, AI, financials, and crypto-related stocks will all be influenced by regulatory expectations, fiscal policy, and changes in U.S. Treasury yields.
If the election results cause the dollar and Treasury yields to fall, growth stocks and high-valuation assets might get some breathing room.
But if the market starts worrying about fiscal negotiations, economic growth, or policy deadlock, U.S. stocks may first price in higher risk premiums.
Currently, it’s not enough to judge market moves just by election outcomes; what matters more going forward are:
U.S. Treasury yields, the dollar, corporate earnings, and capital flows.
Impact on Web3 and the crypto market
Web3 may be one of the sectors most likely to be repriced.
With Democrats controlling both chambers, some crypto regulatory bills expected by the market may slow down, especially those involving:
Stablecoin regulation
Market structure
Exchange platform oversight
DeFi and custody rules
Banking and digital asset cooperation
But this does not mean Web3 is entering a full tightening cycle.
Within both U.S. parties, there is not complete consensus on the crypto industry; the market is more likely to see:
Continued regulatory progress but requiring more compromises; policies won’t disappear but implementation timelines may lengthen.
In the next two years, the U.S. market may enter a phase emphasizing more bargaining and negotiation.
#美国中期选举 #美股




