Post

疯狂的Jerrick(Trader)
疯狂的Jerrick(Trader)
Show original
昨天关于ZEC的分析提到“很难突破3区域的高点。所以可以在这个位置尝试一笔头仓的做空计划”。 我当时确实也做了一笔空单, 现在已经在盈利中。 现在重新来审视这个判断逻辑: 1.资金面上的ETF驱动资金最近一直没有跟上。 2.技术面上,这里小级别出现一个头肩顶的形态,昨天截图的位置也是一个右肩的位置。 3.大饼在经历过周五的大幅下跌后,反弹基本是一个无力的状态。 4.外围环境上,黄金和美股都是很弱的趋势下跌中继的状态。 5.补跌逻辑,这一轮大饼的急跌,其实对于ZEC来说是一个非常坚挺的标的。但是就像BTC一样,在周四纳斯达克和半导体都大幅下跌的情况下,周五的大饼也跟着补跌,而ZEC并没有跟着跌多少,而且还收复了前期的小级别跌幅。所以如果大饼还会进一步跟随美股下跌,那么ZEC也会走一轮非常猛烈的补跌逻辑。 当然,如果大饼在这个位置往上暴力反弹,那就是另一个图景了。 不过单纯从ETF资金面来看,确实是没有跟上的。 个人分析记录,不构成投资建议。DYOR. #美国10月非农超预期,12月加息押注升温 $ZEC
疯狂的Jerrick(Trader)
疯狂的Jerrick(Trader)
This may be the most comprehensive analysis article so far on the relationship between net inflows of cryptocurrency (ZEC, HYPE, BTC...) ETFs and their prices
Today is Saturday, and the market is relatively quiet. So I dug out some of the crypto ETF market analysis websites I have bookmarked. Originally, I just wanted to check the net inflow and outflow of ETF funds for some mainstream crypto coins to judge the current trend of the crypto industry and the possible price movement logic. But for some reason, I ended up reviewing the inflow and outflow of ETF funds and price change logic for all cryptocurrencies. Later, I thought I might as well write an analysis article about the ETF situation of each cryptocurrency. On one hand, it can help me understand the basic situation of ETF inflows and outflows for each cryptocurrency, and on the other hand, it allows me to have a basic understanding of the impact of crypto ETF funds on prices. The following analysis is just my personal findings and does not constitute any investment advice! Please view it objectively! DYOR. In the chart, the yellow line is the price curve of the related asset, the green bars represent net inflow of funds, and the red bars represent net outflow of funds. HYPE: From the marked areas above, it is obvious that the price curves in areas 1 to 4 are all trending upward, and it can basically be confirmed that ETF fund driving plays a significant role. However, the price increase in area 5 is not entirely driven by ETF funds; it is very likely driven by residual sentiment formed from previous price increases. From the price peak, no new highs were made. From area 6, after area 4, ETF funds show a complete net outflow state. The withdrawal of ETF funds also led to the continuous decline of HYPE's price

Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more

Replies

No comments yet. Be the first to reply!