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麋鹿乱撞🦌
麋鹿乱撞🦌
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29日FOMC落地,市场走出一出“空头绞杀”剧本。24小时全网爆仓3.86亿美元,空单2.46亿,多单仅1.40亿,超8.6万人被抬出场。大量交易员在8万附近追空,被决议前的反弹集体收割,筹码完成大洗牌。 具体来看,BTC凌晨报80565附近,勉强守住8万关口。上方81700至82800是极其厚重的空头清算区,极易引发踩踏回补;下方79300是多头买盘防线。硬仗在81700和79300两头。ETH报2334附近,2300是关键多空争夺位,2280下方埋着约2亿多单清算,跌破2170将直接暴露。SOL最弱报101附近,100是心理底线,过去一周跌近5%,反弹缺乏量能,上方均线全线压制。 我的看法:这轮空头爆仓说明情绪短暂反向踩踏,但不代表趋势反转。BTC的81700和ETH的2280,比8万和2300更值得死盯——前者是空头逼空确认位,后者是多头崩溃触发位。FOMC按兵不动已被定价,真正变量是后续PCE和GDP数据。策略上不追空也不追多,等BTC对81700或79300做出收盘确认再决定方向。杠杆务必压至5倍内,保本优先于抢跑。#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布
麋鹿乱撞🦌
麋鹿乱撞🦌
Afternoon market scan shows the liquidation scale tipping towards the bears. In the past 24 hours, the total network liquidations reached $149 million, with short liquidations at $99.92 million and long liquidations only $48.61 million. The price rebounded from 79,200 back above 80,000, causing short sellers to be caught in a reverse squeeze. BTC is currently quoted at 80,700-80,900. Heavy selling pressure above 81,000; the 79,900-81,000 range sees many short positions facing selling pressure. The 79,100-79,200 zone is a liquidation area for longs. The 80,000 level acts as a meat grinder, with tough battles at 76,000 and 82,500. ETH is around 2,345, back above 2,300, but 2,285 is a critical line—breaking it exposes 2,250-2,200. SOL is slightly up near 101; 98.5-99 is the bottom line, breaking it targets 93-96. The probability that the FOMC will hold steady tonight is high; focus is on the December rate hike wording. Institutions clearly state: no talk of reversal before breaking above 82,500. Strategy-wise, do not chase longs before the FOMC. BTC rebound to 81,000-81,400 faces resistance—light short positions recommended, target 79,500-79,800; if volume breaks 79,100, follow the trend down to 78,000. ETH rebound to 2,380-2,400 faces resistance—short with defense at 2,430. SOL rebound to 103-104 faces pressure before reconsidering. Keep leverage within 5x, closely watch BTC at 79,100 and ETH at 2,285, prioritize break-even. #美伊缓和与军事风险并存,油价持续回落

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