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Netanyahu is temporarily leading in the election, but it is still difficult to reach the 61-seat threshold needed to form a government. The Arab parties may become the most crucial group! The Israeli election closed at 4 a.m., and exit polls showed Eskenazi with higher support than Netanyahu, but the actual vote count on the 28th tells a completely different story. So far, 89% of the votes have been counted, and according to the current results, Netanyahu's Likud party remains the largest party in the parliament. However, this does not mean Netanyahu can smoothly secure the prime minister position. In this election, Netanyahu's camp (Likud party) has about 54 seats, Eskenazi's camp about 48 seats, and the Arab parties 18 seats. This means that neither Netanyahu nor Eskenazi can reach the 61-seat majority needed to form a government based on their respective supporting parties, so the key lies in which side the Arab parties' 18 seats will support. #美伊缓和与军事风险并存，油价持续回落 According to the current seat distribution, forming a new government cannot bypass the Arab parties. However, Netanyahu has previously expressed a desire to establish a strong nationalist right-wing government, basically ruling out the possibility of forming a coalition with the Arab parties. Eskenazi, on the other hand, could form a coalition with the Arab parties, but this would come at a very high political cost. The Israeli prime minister election mechanism is not about who comes first, but about who can unite various parties to reach the 61-seat majority to form a government. Whoever has the best chance will be ordered by the president to form the government, and the successful candidate will be the next Israeli prime minister. Next, on one hand,