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ARRIWYKS
#CircleQ3USDCGrowth
Nov 4 — Est: $0.37 EPS | $740M Rev*
Last BEAT Q3 already printed? $0.64 vs $0.22 est, Net Inc $214M +202%, Rev $740M +66%. USDC $73.7B +108% YoY. But stock -11% after.
*Valuation squeeze:*
Mizuho PT $43 (-48%), Wolfe $60 — 96% rev = interest. Fed cut fear = -10-20% reserve income. P/E 49x, Fwd 80x+ still rich. Q2 miss $0.18 vs $0.16.
*Call: 70% BEAT but 30% stock BEAT — needs USDC >$75B + stable reserve yield. >$800M Rev + Other $100M = $95 test. Rate cut guide = fade.*
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