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阿简在路上
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19号时阿简就说过这周到27号的FOMC之前,中间都没有什么新的宏观因素了,价格通常都会在现有信息里来回,属于最容易出现假突破的真空期。而地缘风险的加剧及原油$BZ 再次站上$110附近导致通胀压力再增,所以即使昨日美国现货BTC ETF净流入高达$5.2841亿,$BTC 仍是在逼近$85,000后快速回落。目前阿简的判断不变,仍是建议在FOMC前尽量减少操作,可以顺带关注主要央行的政策决定#ETF买盘持续回流,BTC为何仍未走强?
Between now and the 27th before the FOMC, there are no new macro factors, so prices usually fluctuate within the existing information, making it the most likely vacuum period for false breakouts. Also, Ajian believes that judging from the current $BTC trend, the probability of a rate hike has already dropped from a high level, but the price has not shown a significant catch-up rally, indicating that the market has priced in no rate hike but has not yet priced in a rate cut. Therefore, even if there are bullish candles during this period, they may be overnight position closures rather than new allocations. Without new fundamental incentives, it is recommended to reduce trading activity
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