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惨度排行榜,图上见 图1 把两条归一化曲线拉直了看:10/12 起两人手拉手往下走,10/15 $ETH 一脚踩空把差距彻底拉开,$BTC 那天只回了个浅头。$ETH 反弹碰 2,493 就没劲,$BTC 好歹还摸过 82,900。柱子里的结论更直白:区间收益 -2.6% 对 -4.3%,最大回撤 2.6% 对 4.5%,年化波动 28.2% 对 42.3%,$BTC 每一项都站上风。 钱用脚投票,票数悬殊 图2 是双币持仓端流水:$ETH 10/13 单日被抽 2.7 亿、10/16 再被抽 2.4 亿,一周净流出 4.15 亿,反弹全靠嘴;$BTC 10/16 反手净进 1.57 亿,全周还能剩 +1,110 万。平均费率 $BTC 0.0033%、$ETH 0.0019%,都温吞得像白开水——情绪没亢奋,说明聪明钱的进出是算过账的,不是上头。 机构端上周美国现货 ETF 虽净流出 6.81 亿,链上报告却显示机构整体还在低吸 $BTC、散户在丢筹码——票投给谁,一目了然。
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BTC vs ETH Earning Ability Comparison 2026-10-16 | Issue 29 PK Day | Verdict $BTC Retains Crown Verdict First: The Misery Contest, $BTC Miserably Dignified This week is the misery contest: $BTC down -2.63% over seven days, $ETH -4.30%, no one should brag about their strength. But misery isn’t the same—$BTC’s drawdown was only 2.6%, $ETH took a solid 4.5%; even worse is the money’s attitude: $BTC saw a net inflow of +11.1 million in holdings over the week, $ETH had 415 million withdrawn. One is being bought against the trend, the other is continuously drained, no need to wait for the close to know the winner, the ledger is already written. Verdict unchanged: $BTC retains the crown, winning by "losing less and still being bought" with dignity. First, compare who has the bigger heart $ETH annualized volatility is 42.3%, $BTC 28.2%, this week $ETH’s heart load really exploded—during the same sell-off, $BTC took a hit and bounced back, $ETH directly hit a new weekly low of 2,313 on 10/15. Sharpe ratios are negative for both (no bragging in a bear market), but $BTC’s -5.63 beats $ETH’s -6.13: for each unit of volatility endured, $BTC loses less. After risk adjustment, the ranking remains unchanged.

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