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91videoeth(阿酒)
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周四暴跌时成交量放大至均量的近三倍，而周五反弹时成交量明显萎缩，多数科技龙头仅收复了周四三成左右的跌幅，说明大型机构资金依然以观望为主
与此同时，近期头部 AI 独角兽在一级市场的估值预期也在下调，市场正在从单纯追捧算力基建规模，转向严苛检验 AI 的商业变现与现金流回报
这波下跌就是给前两年涨得太猛的 AI 科技股挤一挤估值水分，市场借着选举和经济数据的契机，把不坚定的筹码洗了出来
接下来纳指大概率还要在 200 日均线附近反复震荡筑底，等下周通胀数据落地、指数真正放量企稳再动手，会稳妥得多
$QQQ
91videoeth(阿酒)
In the past week, U.S. tech stocks experienced a rare "sharp drop followed by a rebound": on Thursday, there was a historic intraday sell-off, but on Friday, strong buying pushed prices significantly higher to recover losses.
Even so, the Nasdaq still closed the week down about 3.4%, marking a rare four-week losing streak and officially entering a technical correction zone with a pullback of over 10% from recent highs.
Behind this intense volatility are a reversal in policy expectations and concentrated release of macro interest rate pressures.
On Tuesday, the U.S. midterm elections saw the Democrats sweep Congress and capture key data center hubs like Texas, sparking market fears that AI computing infrastructure might face policy restrictions. This directly triggered a single-day drop of over 12% in the semiconductor sector on Thursday; then on Friday, stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data sharply reduced rate cut expectations, further suppressing valuations of high-growth tech stocks.
It wasn’t until the White House and the incoming Texas governor clarified that "approved projects will continue," combined with rating upgrades from institutions like Deutsche Bank and short sellers covering positions ahead of the weekend, that leaders like Nvidia and AMD saw a strong rebound on Friday.
From a trading perspective, Friday’s rally was more of a technical rebound after overselling rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
#美股暴跌后科技股反弹，纳指周线仍跌约3.4% $QQQ
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