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链上研究笔记
从币安被盗到这周,现货比特币ETF已经累计抽走过大约十亿美元量级,贝莱德IBIT一家就占了大头。价格还在七万五附近磨的时候,现货这边早就在撤。
杠杆这边更干脆:跌破七万六那一轮,24小时清算过十亿,多头接近九成。有人把这当成“洗盘结束”,我看见的是另一面——机构赎回队列没缩短,合约只是把保证金不足的多头先清掉。
清算数字掉到几千万,只说明能爆的仓暂时没了,不说明买盘回来了。现货ETF还在出、杠杆还在空,这个组合谈反转还早。
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