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wesley教授
Influential Creator
周末复盘上周这波超跌反抽，别被表面骗了。周五费城半导体指数表面涨了四个多点领涨，看着挺猛；但你把广度摊开看：道指当天其实是收跌的，VIX 还站在 25 上方没退下来。领涨的只有芯片这一小撮，大部分板块没跟上，这叫缩量反抽，不叫趋势反转。
我手上这几腿半导体底仓，账面是回了点血，但我一股没动，也没加。原因很简单：市场给 12 月加息的概率都快打到八成了，这种环境里的反弹是租来的，不是你的，到了该还的区间，照样得还回去。
反抽收窄到这个份上，耐心比手痒值钱。你觉得这波反弹到头了没？
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