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赛博幽灵X
#美股暴跌后科技股反弹，纳指周线仍跌约3.4% **我的判断：这次更像暴跌后的修复，尚不足以确认科技股已经止跌。**
- **反弹是真的，周线仍弱。**11月6日纳指上涨约 **1.1%**，但全周下跌约 **3.4%**，连续第四周收跌。一天回升还不足以扭转此前的跌势。
- **压力没有完全解除。**市场仍在重新评估AI投资回报和监管风险；强劲非农又增加了加息担忧。科技股盈利增长与估值承压可以同时发生。
- **接下来看反弹能否站稳。**我会观察后续几个交易日是否守住周五低点、上涨能否扩散到更多股票，以及美债收益率是否稳定。这些比单日涨幅更有判断价值。
**现在不宜仅凭“跌得多”就重仓抄底。已有盈利和现金流支撑的科技龙头更值得优先观察，依赖融资扩张的AI概念股仍需谨慎。**
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