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巨然
先算笔实在账:美元兑巴拉圭瓜拉尼上涨10%,当地人换同样的美元,要掏更多本币。CryptoSlate报道,巴拉圭银行危机扰动金融体系,Bitcoin和USDT在当地点对点市场出现小幅溢价。
我觉得这更像避险通道的需求信号,不能直接当成整个币圈的利好。本币承压,美元计价资产的吸引力会增加;银行体系出问题,用户也会更在意钱能不能转出去。不过,溢价不等于安全,点对点交易还得考虑流动性和对手方风险,报价好看未必能顺利成交。
对我来说,稳阵比追这点溢价重要。我会继续看当地出入金是否顺畅、溢价能否持续,先分清大家需要的是美元,还是Bitcoin本身。

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