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抄底抄在半山腰。
《联动加深,先管仓位》
币圈与美股的风险偏好正在同频。科技股大幅回撤、纳指跌约4%后,BTC跌破76000,ETH同步承压,高风险资产去杠杆迹象明显。所谓“币圈独立行情”,这轮暂时失效。
AI硬件股重挫,反映市场在下修未来资本开支预期;BTC走弱,则叠加ETF资金流出与风险偏好降温。资产不同,定价逻辑都指向收缩。
接下来盯两个信号:非农数据会否改写降息预期,BTC ETF能否止住净流出。信号未明前,不猜底,只控仓位。行情可以熬,风控不能松。
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Today’s market buzz
1#BTC fell below $75,000 before the US October CPI release


2#AI stocks pull back: UBS says position reset, Bank of England warns of crash risk



3#Trump says the possibility of a large-scale strike on Iran is low, oil prices plummet