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理智分析的牛
4.3亿美元单日净流出，我先想最坏情况：如果赎回持续，$BTC可能承受更大卖压。这是我的压力情景，不是行情预言。
我把它看作短线风险信号，还不足以判定趋势反转。两个风险得分开看：把单日流出外推成长期趋势，容易误判；用杠杆扛波动，会放大损失。
给自己提个醒：单笔风险预算要把滑点算进去，止损价不等于实际成交价。
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