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wesley教授
Influential Creator
今天 $ETH 涨得比 BTC 猛，一天拉了快六个点，后台立刻有人喊"以太要领涨了"。
先别急。弹性大不等于基本面强。这波反抽的本质是空头回补——哪条腿上的空头挤得最狠，反抽起来就最凶。前几天 ETH 的费率一度转负，说明空头是所有人里最拥挤的，一旦价格往上顶，这群人踩踏着平仓，就把价格抬得格外快。
所以这种涨法，涨得快，回得也快。它反映的是仓位结构，不是有人真金白银在加仓做多。缩量反抽尤其要警惕，盘底下根本没有增量资金接力。
看一个品种强不强，别只盯涨幅，去看它背后是谁在被迫买。
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