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猩猩福斯
#苹果新CEO迎来iPhone18首份成绩单 营收大概率符合至略超（超预期幅度有限），EPS小幅超预期的概率偏高，但"全面大超"的条件比较苛刻。 支撑逻辑是涨价+服务业务+关税退款托底利润；压制因素是内存成本、供应约束（管理层预计本季度供应紧张环比加剧，涉及iPhone、Mac、iPad）以及汇率逆风约2.5个百分点
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