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天才交易员0973
民主党想要横扫两院难度很高。按RCP最新数据，参议院仅5个摇摆州，民主党领先普遍只有1%-3%，容错空间极小，叠加选区重划利好共和党。回顾历史，1946通胀罢工、1994克林顿医改失败、2006伊拉克战争与卡特里娜飓风、2014奥巴马医改争议，这些才是促成反对党横扫两院的强导火索。当前仅有通胀、中东局势带来零散不满，缺少单一标志性重大事件，民主党同时拿下参众两院的条件并不充分，分裂国会仍是更可能的结果
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