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#闪迪存储业务高增长能否延续?
多头框架的成立,依赖于三个前提:NAND价格在FY2027不出现显著下行、AI数据中心资本开支不出现系统性收缩,以及NBM合约的覆盖范围和定价条款在执行中不被大幅稀释。
如果这三者中任何一个出现松动,高增长的表观数字之下,利润率的可持续性将首先受到检验。
多头逻辑的实质,是用长协的“下限保护”和供给纪律的“时间窗口”,去对冲NAND价格本身的波动风险——它降低了周期性,但并未完全消除周期性。
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