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莫再言莫再语
#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议 本次FOMC会议预计维持联邦基金利率在3.75%-4.00%不变，市场已充分定价这一结果。真正值得关注的是决议声明措辞与主席发布会指引——这将决定12月加息是"大概率"还是"确定"。关键矛盾在于：通胀仍偏高（9月核心CPI环比0.3%，同比3.7%）vs就业与增长边际走弱（9月非农仅2.9万人）。美联储倾向于"观察一次再行动"，将加息窗口推迟至12月，利用10-11月更多数据验证通胀持续性。
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