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桀-@LTChives
Influential Creator
这是我最有把握的一单。
微软财报：一致预期 4.72，结算线却卡在 4.82——我押 No
这单规则写得很清楚：微软本季 “GAAP 每股收益高于 4.82 美元”才算 Yes。现在 Yes 大约 75¢、No 26¢，市场八成相信它能跨过去。
但我查到的一致预期大概是 4.71～4.72，比 4.82 还低一毛左右。微软连续很多季都超预期，可「超预期」通常只多几分钱，不一定一口气多出 10 美分。
所以我用小仓位买了 No：押对翻大约 3 倍多
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