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雪村长
No. 28 Top Trader by 30D PnL
#BTC现货ETF资金反复，市场买盘能否企稳？ 近期ETF资金时进时出，机构分歧明显，没有形成稳定增量买盘。背后核心是利率预期摇摆，叠加监管不确定性，机构以短线套利、波段赎回为主，长期配置资金观望。
短期很难直接企稳。单日回流不代表趋势反转，只有连续多日稳定净流入，才能有效承接抛压；如果持续流出，买盘承接不足，行情容易继续承压。
接下来重点跟踪：ETF持续流向、美债收益率、美联储表态。当前属于资金博弈阶段，波动会放大，不适合重仓加杠杆，耐心等资金信号确认。
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