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王尼颢
#SK海力士Q3财报在即，HBM4能否提振盈利？ 当前美股的核心特征并非单边涨跌，而是指数表象与市场内部严重脱节。标普500市值加权指数受少数AI巨头拖累下行，但等权重指数与多数成分股同期走强，市场宽度与指数走势的背离达到数十年来罕见水平。这种撕裂意味着，仅看指数已难以判断市场真实温度。驱动分化的根源在于市场对AI巨额资本开支的回报耐心正在消耗，而利率路径与通胀粘性又同时压制高估值资产。短期方向高度不明，风格是否真正切换尚需验证，不宜将指数的单日涨跌等同于整体市场的健康程度。
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