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雪村长
No. 23 Top Trader by 30D PnL
周末币圈普跌，BTC失守80000、ETH跌破2300。核心是美债收益率抬升、降息预期延后，叠加现货ETF持续流出，周末流动性差，破位后触发连环杠杆清算加速下杀。
短期很难直接强势反转，大概率以震荡磨底为主。若美联储表态偏中性、抛压放缓，会迎来超跌修复反弹，但上方套牢盘重，多是空头回补行情，反弹不等于趋势反转；若鹰派信号落地，还有继续下探空间。
后续重点盯美联储FOMC决议、ETF资金流向和美债走势。当前属于高波动博弈区间，不适合重仓、上杠杆，短线博弈务必带好止损，长线也忌一把抄底。$BTC $ETH #10月FOMC临近，美联储暂停加息还有哪些变数？
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