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楼下便利店
$BTC 在80,695.7附近被压着走,近24小时多单清算3,226万美元,空单1,557万美元,挨打的是多头。资金费率三期从0.0100%落到0.0034%,杠杆多头在主动撤。 中美投资摩擦传到币圈,主要走风险偏好这条线。期权那边很平静,DVOL 37.5,持仓put/call 0.93,没人花钱买大波动。成交put/call 1.20偏防守,量级更像短线对冲。 判断是偏弱震荡,80,404.6这个低点还会被反复试,这条消息自己推不动方向。稳定币总供给3,043亿美元,单条政策消息抽不走这么多流动性。 翻空条件:跌破80,404.6且DVOL明显抬升,说明市场开始给中美摩擦定价。翻多条件:费率回到0.0100%以上,合约持仓76.2亿美元继续往上加。

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