
Post
豹豹豹
8万美金:一堵随时会撤的墙
三个指标同时亮红灯:ETF净流出5.93亿,Coinbase溢价跌到-0.141,多头清算1.73亿。卖盘清晰——被动基金在撤,杠杆赌徒在爆。
但BTC没跌破8万。谁在接?
答案是两样东西:挂单和对冲。8万至8.15万美元堆着限价买单墙,Deribit上8万行权价期权未平仓合约高达16亿美元,做市商为对冲正Gamma头寸,必须在下跌时机械性买入。他们不看好后市,是仓位逼他们买。
所以8万不是“市场底”,是“流动性底”。挂单可以撤,期权会到期,Gamma对冲会随着合约滚动而消失。GlassNode说得直白:卖压缓了,但新买盘还没来。
8万守住了,只说明有人在那儿挂了单。挂单可以撤,底不能靠挂单来定义。
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#ETF持续流出,BTC反弹能否延续?
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