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跟跟
综合标题#奈飞增长或放缓,广告业务成新看点 看,前半句“增长或放缓”已被股价充分定价:10月16日收70.53美元,单日跌2.86%,距52周高点124.86美元回撤约43.5%,距低点65.08美元仅高8.4%;Q2财报后曾单日重挫约9%并创年内低点,市盈率约21.5倍,悲观预期计入较深。
后半句“广告成新看点”仍是期权:广告占营收仅约6%,需连续兑现才能重估;共识目标价91.39美元、隐含约29.6%空间,但区间57—135美元,分歧极大。因此股价处于“底部已现、反转未至”:下行偏阴跌,65美元可能反复测试。
上行看广告兑现,10月20日财报对观看时长和广告节奏的表态是短期裁决点。
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