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币圈牛牛说
$FET进入超卖区,反弹和见底是两回事
$FET 24小时-7.07%,现价0.2209。1小时和4小时RSI分别为15、43。超卖会带来反弹需求,但反弹只说明跌得急,见底还需要价格停止破坏结构。
把情绪先放下,结构给出的信息很具体。1小时EMA20在0.22822146,当前偏弱;4小时EMA20在0.22807192,当前偏弱。短周期负责暴露变化,大周期负责限制想象。两者一致时要防拥挤,两者冲突时要防反复,不能只挑对自己有利的一边。
偏强一方需要完成的任务很明确:先站稳1小时压力0.2443,再观察4小时压力0.2443附近是否还能维持承接。如果只是盘中短暂越过又迅速回到区间,所谓突破就缺少最关键的后半段。

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