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妮妮789.
我第一反应是:又到了“资金撤退 VS 大户接货”的拉扯局。我习惯先看哪边的证据更扎实,不急着给“抄底”两个字鼓掌。
美国以太坊现货ETF上周净流出3.653亿美元,已连续六周净流出;同期,部分大额地址买入或提取ETH。同一条消息,确实能读出两种情绪。
但这两边的分量,我觉得不对等:连续净流出反映这类产品持续承压,单周波动的解释没那么够用了;大额地址买入能体现部分资金的意愿,提币却不等于新增买盘,也无法直接证明能抵消ETF流出。
所以对$ETH的短期资金面,我偏谨慎,大户动作还不足以当反转信号。你更站“ETF流出更有分量”,还是“大户动作值得跟踪”这边?什么证据会让你换边?

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