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比特币截至11月29日会触及哪些价格?
书接上文:
很多人看到麻吉大哥、巨鲸被清,第一反应就觉得是不是行情要直接一路归零,其实不是。
$ETH 这一轮杀跌,本质就是集中清算,2180–2150 这一带堆了太多多头杠杆,筹码挤在同一个价位,只要行情达到区间,就是连锁踩踏,一根线带爆一批大户。 杠杆拥挤的时候,不需要多大的利空,只要承接跟不上,就容易走出这种快跌。
现在最大的问题,是买盘缺位。 大户爆了,机构在持续流出,靠散户资金很难直接托起一大波反转。
所以我的思路很简单: 短线不要急着去猜底、重仓博反弹。 如果要做,优先等反弹,去看上方压力。
想要稳妥的右侧机会,需要看到两个信号至少出现一个:
要么,现货ETF停止持续流出,资金重新回流, 要么,盘面再下探之后,不再出现这种连环爆仓,下跌放量收敛,有资金愿意在低位稳稳接筹码。
现在这个阶段,属于利空集中兑现后的震荡期, 下方有抛压释放完毕的预期,但上方全是套牢盘。 会反复来回拉扯,很磨人,最容易一边涨一边套追高的,一边跌一边抄底被套。
所以现价段更合适看波段,不扛单。
$BTC
#美国10月CPI前瞻:12月加息预期会否改变?
#MarketOverview $ETH $412 million liquidated in 24 hours!! #BrotherMaji Huang Licheng suffers another crushing defeat.
Last Friday's nonfarm payroll data far exceeded expectations, triggering a sharp plunge. Normally, the market would likely rebound over the weekend to repair the drop, but unexpectedly, after two days of sideways movement, there was another sharp drop of nearly 8% around 5 a.m. Monday. Clearly, the long-term bulls, including Brother Huang, were liquidated again.
The market reason is that the 2180-2150 price range concentrated multiple large holders' liquidation trigger points. Besides Huang Licheng, there was a whale holding 93,174 ETH, worth about $214 million at market price.
On the news front, after the US elections concluded, the Democrats swept both chambers, leading to tighter crypto regulations, continuous withdrawal of institutional funds, and ongoing outflows from spot ETFs.
Geopolitically, negotiations between the US and Iran have not gone smoothly and remain divided. There was an attack reported on a cruise ship in the Strait of Hormuz. Although a temporary easing signal was sent, the situation remains tense.
Before a bull market, multiple shakeouts are common knowledge among old crypto traders. This is not a sign of a market problem but rather overcrowded leverage, concentrated chips, and absence of institutional buying.
In the next article, I will analyze how to view the follow-up.
$BTC
#ASTS推进手机直连卫星服务,商业化进展待披露
#美国10月CPI前瞻:12月加息预期会否改变?

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