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中线情报哥
No. 12 Top Trader by 365D PnL
#美国10月非农超预期,12月加息押注升温
我是中线情报哥,刚看到一个新闻说
自 2016 年,美联储“暂停后重启加息”情境下,$BTC 加息后 30 天全跌,0 胜 7 负,中位跌幅 2.4%。
当前正处此局:9 月加、10 月停,近期预期再加。最像 2018 年,当时中期选举到 12 月加息间 BTC 暴跌 42%。
历史样本虽仅 7 次,但全负记录值得警惕。
中线看,宏观收紧下风险资产承压,短线防回撤,别盲目扛单,盯紧宏观落地。
$ETH
$ZEC

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