Is the outcome of the U.S. midterm elections already decided? The Democrats are pushing to control Congress across five continents. Under such circumstances, what kinds of divergences will appear in politics, finance, macroeconomics, U.S. stocks, and crypto?
Is the outcome of the U.S. midterm elections already decided? The Democratic Party has consecutively taken control of five key swing states, gaining control of Congress. Under such circumstances, what kind of divergence will appear in politics, finance, macroeconomics, U.S. stocks, and crypto? As of 2 PM Beijing time on November 4, the vote count for the U.S. midterm elections has concluded. The Democratic Party has consecutively won several key swing states previously controlled by the Republican Party, achieving a sweeping victory. Vote count results: The Democratic Party took core red states Texas and Iowa, especially Texas, where the Democrats won the Senate election for the first time in 38 years. In the deep red state of South Carolina, the Democrats won a federal Senate election for the first time this century. The Republican losses in these core states indicate that under Trump's current leadership, the Republican Party has lost significant public support. Losing key states further reduces the Republican Party's influence in Congress. #U.S. Midterm Elections: Democrats Win Control of Both Houses of Congress The vote count is not yet fully complete, but based on current tallies, the Democrats are set to win a majority in both the House and Senate, regaining control of Congress. This means the U.S. is shifting from unified Republican governance to a divided government with Democrats controlling Congress and Republicans controlling the White House. The main market conflicts will increase, and under the political struggle between the two parties, whether Trump's policies can be implemented will shift from whether they can be introduced to whether they can be executed, whether fiscal compromises can be reached, and how financial conditions will be priced. Moreover, based on current support rates, in the medium to long term, the pressure for the Republican Party to win the next U.S. presidential election is enormous. If Trump realizes that the Republican Party cannot continue to hold the presidency, then
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