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浅酌w
我第一反应是：这条风险链能跑，但别把条件分支当必然。
Arthur Hayes估算，SpaceX到2027年6月流通股供应或增约50%，并警告AI信贷收缩可能压缩美元流动性，拖累加密市场。
我认为信贷比解禁更关键。潜在bug是把解禁直接当抛售；如果融资成本持续上升，压力才可能向外传导。换我会先盯融资条件，不预支救市剧本。
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