Post
Wesley A. Souza
#AAOIQ3800GOutlook
AAOI reports Q3 tomorrow after market. Everyone is watching revenue. I'm watching 800G.
Q2: 800G was only $12.8M. Management guided 5x sequential growth in Q3. Guidance $255M-$290M total.
Demand > supply through mid-2027. Capacity going 200k -> 650k units/month. $200M+ in 1.6T orders already.
Stock fell from $233 to $59. Not because demand died. Because execution + dilution scared everyone.
If 800G actually 5x'd, this is the reset. If not, it's the trap.
$AAOI
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