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wesley教授
Influential Creator
黄金今晚跌破3920,但比价格更值得看的,是它的需求结构。
一组很罕见的割裂数据:全球央行单季购金量罕见激增,民间消费却在高位直接冻住了。翻译一下——在买金的是各国央行,做的是以年为单位的去美元化长线配置;而普通人,已经买不动了。
这意味着什么?别把央行的慢牌,当成你短线做多黄金的发令枪。价格短期还是跟着实际利率和美元走,央行那张牌是结构性力量,不是你明天进场的理由。
你买黄金,是在跟央行做长线,还是在赌一把避险?
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