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做条闲🐟
抄底别接刀子,能长拿的长拿,拿不了的一定要跑的块!
PCE数据出来了,核心3.1%,整体3.6%,全符合预期。但你仔细看市场反应,12月加息概率死死卡在80%以上,这才是真正要命的刀子。
通胀根本没死,它只是粘在了高位。美联储10比2的投票早把底牌亮了,内部恨不得马上加息。现在80%以上的概率在押注12月,这意味着宏观上最大的利空不仅没出尽,反而像个定时炸弹一样滴答作响。风险资产头上这把达摩克利斯之剑,随时会落下来。
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