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Yuvi.
$SPY,GDP强劲而消费放缓,指数定价看哪一条?美国三季度GDP年化增长3.4%,但9月实际消费支出基本持平,通胀仍偏高,增长与购买力信号出现分化。企业盈利能否延续、利率是否继续限制估值,将决定大盘宽度。若盈利预期上修且上涨扩散到更多行业,指数强势更健康;若指数依赖少数权重股、收益率再走高,回撤风险会上升。
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