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Yuvi.
$XLF,政策利率不变对银行板块究竟是利好还是中性?联储维持3.75%—4%,但高通胀和偏鹰异议意味着短端并未转松。银行净息差要看存款成本、贷款需求与曲线斜率,不能只看联邦基金利率。若曲线改善且信用损失稳定,盈利预期受益;若融资成本黏性高、贷款质量转弱,暂停加息也难转成利润上修。
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