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Dsetin（权威智库）
主线复盘
一，价格：BTC约80744（Binance现货24h约+0.52%，日内区间约79890–81823）；ETH约2340（约+0.20%，约2316–2388）。总市值约2.72万亿美元（CoinGecko）；BTC.D约59.5%、ETH.D约10.5%；恐惧贪婪51（中性，较前日48回升）。
二，宏观：美股当日偏强（公开报道纳指/标普偏多、道指接近平盘），美元指数约102附近、10年期美债收益率约5.0%；现货金约4050–4065美元/盎司小幅回落；WTI原油约101–102、受沙特炼厂袭击等供给担忧推升。定价轴心：今晚美东FOMC决议与Warsh会后表态（主流预期按兵不动于3.75%–4.00%，市场仍在定价12月路径）、周四PCE/GDP初值与初请失业金。
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