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欧定乾坤
#台积电Q3净利润超预期，盈利创历史新高 Q3净利润确实炸裂，但股价反而跌了2%多，典型的“利好落地即利空”。市场跌的不是现在，而是Q4毛利率指引（65%-67%）低于Q2。AI需求是确定的，但2nm爬坡和海外建厂的成本开始显现，加上资本开支可能进一步上调，资金担心利润率见顶。
短线是估值消化，长期看AI结构性逻辑没坏。我选择等回调企稳再考虑，不追高。
大家怎么看？毛利率下滑是短期扰动还是长期趋势？
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