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猫猫桑(慈善家)
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$BTC 这不是一个“诱空之后就要大涨”的剧本,而是一个“空头陷阱的形,配上了多头未死的里子”的僵局。
真正的诱空底部,通常伴随费率为负、多头账户比骤降、主动买盘放量。眼下这三个条件一个都没满足。75,500下方如果再次被刺破,触发的不一定是“最后一次洗盘”,也可能是尚未出清的多头杠杆的第二轮清算。
在费率转负、或价格放量收复76,210(1小时多空分界)并站稳之前,把每一次下影线都当成“诱空”来抢,赌的是自己比市场更有耐心,而不是比市场更聪明。#BTC与ETH现货ETF单周净流出超16亿美元
Firmly bullish on BTC $BTC at 72000, won't go long unless it reaches that level!
You can actually see it clearly by opening the weekly chart.
First, why don't I look lower?
Because above 78000, there are many short positions trapped.
The support here can be described as epically strong!
If it really falls to the 60,000 range,
I believe bottom-fishers will flood in like a tidal wave, so
I don't see it going below 70000.
Therefore,
the most reasonable level I can see right now is 72000!
Going long here, whether from a safety or cost-effectiveness perspective,
is very perfect.
Think about how many people are still holding long positions above 80000,
even 85000,
still hanging in the air!
Ethereum $ETH has fallen from 2880 all the way down to a low of 2170,
with even more severe trapped long positions above.
It's really hard for it to take off again in the short term,
I don't see any strong signals at the moment.
Brothers, what do you think? Check my pinned post. #美国10月非农超预期,12月加息押注升温
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