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币圈八爺
币圈八爺
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大盘的数据还是很有意思,钱没走,只是换了个姿势再进来。BTC现货ETF两周净撤9.07亿,ETH在10月单月撤9.55亿、创今年最惨,账面上机构在跑路;但贝莱德反手递了一只带下行保护的BTC新ETF——期权加固收,跌了有垫子、涨了封顶,撤退和排队的是同一拨人📊 BTC今晨在81800一线晃悠,跌1%出头,81000的坎还没破;ETH守在2400下方,被9.55亿砸的坑三大主流最深;SOL在105附近横盘没动,明晚北京时间21点前后换心脏,我刚核验过这个消息没延期,所以需要注意。 还有两层消息:9月CPI同比3.7%超预期的3.6%,加息又被翻出来,风险资产先怂为敬;另一边Warsh避谈加息,FOMC还有8天,宏观在吓你和哄你之间横跳——撤的是怕加息的钱,申请的是赌波动的钱😏 我的判断是这个位置不追空。如果明晚换心脏平稳落地,SOL的波动溢价会被熨平;如果FOMC放鹰,81000的坎大概率再测一次;ETH坑最深反而离水面最近,超跌反弹真来了它弹性最大,我盯着2400能不能站回去。 条件摆在这:升级顺利加宏观不放鹰,多头才有口饭吃;但凡一个掉链子,空头手里的撤退单就是现成的燃料💥
鹰猎(象鹰一样猎杀)
鹰猎(象鹰一样猎杀)
The most impressive aspect of this position set is risk control: isolated margin, low leverage, and all three positions have sufficient maintenance margin ratios, indicating it's not an emotional short squeeze but a position structure that leaves room for errors. The ETH short position yields the highest profit, consistent with ETH's relatively weak structure during this recovery phase; the BTC short position has a thinner unrealized profit, mainly playing key range battles; the ZEC short position hit the pullback after the previous concentrated liquidation of leveraged longs. However, caution is needed: the current market is still a technical recovery, ETF funds have not significantly returned yet, and once BTC retakes above $83,000, shorts may become passive. Following the trend with short positions is possible, but don't mistake unrealized profits for a certain trend. $ETH #Tesla delivery exceeding expectations makes profit recovery the focus

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