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Puppets_Xyz
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$WAL 空头还没认输:多空比钉在 0.53,新高又来了
上一根写空头挤压的时候,$WAL 还在 $0.0619。那之后它在 $0.060 到 $0.062 之间磨了三个小时,刚才又捅到 $0.0639,24 小时涨幅 67.9%,成交额 2.75 亿还在放大。
多空比一点没动:凌晨 2 点 0.56,现在 0.53,空头还在场里。按上一根的逻辑,空头不认输出局,挤压就没结束,新高就是这么来的。
但有个细节变了:资金费率从 -0.54%/8 小时收到 -0.27%,永续贴水从 0.8% 收到 0.36%。空头还在,交的“续命钱”少了一半。两种可能:要么一部分空头已经在高位悄悄平了,要么多头在 $0.06 上方开始分批获利了结,供需在找新的平衡。
所以这波大概率还没走完,只是从逼空加速段进入了磨空头段。$0.06 现在是多空换手的中轴,守得住,空头继续付费,往上还有空间;放量跌破 $0.06 回到 $0.055 下方,说明多头开始撤了,挤压行情告一段落。
$WAL This wave is a classic short squeeze: the long-short ratio has already inverted.
$WAL touched a new high of $0.0619 early this morning, up 62% in 24 hours. But more convincing than the price is the contract long-short ratio on OKX: at 1 PM yesterday, the account long-short ratio was still 1.4 (longs dominant), but after 2 PM it inverted continuously, dropping directly to 0.45 by 9 PM last night — the number of shorts was more than twice the longs, and it’s still stuck around 0.56 now without recovering.
To translate: after the first wave of rally, a large number of shorts rushed in to short at the top, but the price kept rising to $0.0619, trapping all those shorts. Now on OKX, the funding rate for $WAL is -0.54% per 8 hours, and the perpetual contract is still at a discount of 0.8% — shorts are not only losing on the price difference, but also have to pay every 8 hours to keep their positions alive. This is the classic structure of a short squeeze: the more the shorts resist, the more fuel there is.
But a squeeze has a characteristic: it comes fast and goes fast; once the fuel is burned out, there’s a counterattack. Watch two signals: first, the long-short ratio — if it quickly rebounds from below 0.5 to above 1.0, it means shorts admit defeat and the squeeze is near its end; second, the price — $0.055 is the starting point of this acceleration, breaking below it weakens the squeeze logic, and breaking $0.051 outright falsifies it.
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