交易员刺客
交易员刺客
刺客社区创始人，绿洲大学联合创始人，香港web3协会会员，新加坡区块链中文大使，推特华语区块链头部KOL，著名kol“飞哥定投策略”老师，2024年okx交易嘉年华第一名，2016年开始布道区块链。2026年打算完成8个挑战，3个挑战500到5wu，3个挑战4w到10wu，2个挑战1000到10wu。
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This wave of $SNDK
is enough
and has also made a profit
Waiting for the price level to be reached!
交易员飞哥
No one dares to go long anymore! I'm publicly setting up long positions now!
Brothers, Bitcoin has plunged wildly from 81,000 down to 75,900. The market looks really scary, but I'm actually excited now. This wave of panic selling has already created space. I plan to place orders directly at 72,222 to go long, for the following reasons:
First, strong technical support. After this thousand-point plunge, the 72,000 to 73,000 range below is a previous chip concentration area and a strong psychological defense line. In such a sharp drop, once it hits a strong support zone, there is often a fierce technical rebound. The 72,222 level is right at the upper edge of the support zone and also has a psychological expectation of metaphysical bottom support for this coin.
Second, extremely high risk-reward ratio. Buying long at this level has a very clear stop-loss at 71,000 break, so the risk is controllable. On the upside, as long as it rebounds to the 75,000 to 76,000 range, the risk-reward ratio is more than three times.
Third, macro negative factors have been priced in early. The non-farm payroll data will be released tonight. The market has already dropped so deeply in advance, clearly pricing in various negative factors ahead of time. When the data actually comes out, regardless of good or bad, it often means the negative is fully priced and turns positive, and funds will likely rush in to catch the rebound.
Now is the time to be patient. Place limit orders on the left side to go long, and absolutely do not go all in at once! Place the first order at 72,222, and if it really dips to 71,500, add more. Emphasize: if it breaks below 71,000, stop loss unconditionally, absolutely do not hold the position! Get your bullets ready and wait for the spike to drop. #美中期选举后AI监管分歧引发行情波动
Firmly shorted for 30 hours! Made 9 arbitrage trades! Currently down 5000 points!
Reasons for the drop are as follows:
BTC directly dropped to 75500, falling all the way down from above 81000. The core reason is the triple logic resonance of macro expectations suppression, institutional fund withdrawal, and long leverage liquidation.
First, macro non-farm expectations are being "front-run". On November 5, the US October ADP private sector employment increased by 86,000, higher than the market expectation of 69,000, and the ISM services employment index also expanded consecutively. ADP, as a leading indicator of non-farm payrolls, being this strong naturally leads the market to price in a good October non-farm report in advance, fully pricing in the December rate hike expectations again.
Second, institutional funds are continuously "pulling out firewood." The US spot Bitcoin ETF has had net outflows of about $1.16 billion over three consecutive trading days, with BlackRock's IBIT alone withdrawing $734 million, accounting for more than 60% of the total outflow.
Third, long leverage liquidation is the accelerator of the decline. Nearly $1 billion was liquidated across the entire network in the past 24 hours, with long positions accounting for a significant proportion; BTC long liquidations were about $87.49 million.
Fourth, technical breakdown triggered programmatic sell orders. The 81300 level repeatedly confirmed as strong resistance, several attempts failed to break through, daily chart shows signs of a head and shoulders pattern forming, EMA30 moving average pressure is obvious, and MACD has been running below the zero line. $BTC #非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？ $ETH $ZEC
#非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？
The recent rebound of ETH and BTC has already reached resistance levels!
If rate hikes continue, BTC could drop back to 76,000; if expectations shift to no rate hike or a rate cut, it could rise again to 87,000. Here's the detailed analysis:
The real battle is the non-farm payroll data at 9:30 PM tomorrow night.
Looking at the just-released preliminary data, US October ADP private sector employment increased by 86,000, exceeding expectations, and the ISM services employment index has risen for two consecutive months to 51.4. This indicates the job market still has resilience. The market generally expects tomorrow's non-farm payroll increase to be 60,000, with the previous value at only 29,000 and an unemployment rate of 4.2%. These numbers seem simple but directly determine whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates in December.
The current macro situation is awkward: inflation is not fully under control, and the Fed remains inactive. If tomorrow's non-farm data greatly exceeds expectations, it means the economy is overheating, and the December rate hike expectation will immediately spike, which would be a heavy blow to risk assets like BTC and ETH. If the data disappoints and is far below expectations, recession fears will spread again, and capital will flee. In short, regardless of the data's quality, volatility will increase.
Currently, BTC and ETH are slightly up, both holding their breath for the results. Those holding short positions at high levels can hold steady, but those without positions should not gamble on a one-sided data trade. Wait for the data to fully settle and market sentiment to release before looking for opportunities. Tomorrow night’s market will definitely be very thin; guard against spikes and set stop losses properly. $BTC $ETH
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-359.61%Snapshot at Nov 05, 2026, 10:53
