#DieselSupplyHormuzRisk
About DieselSupplyHormuzRisk
Trump sagte am 9. Oktober, dass Russland im Oktober über 300.000 Tonnen Diesel hinzufügen werde, im November 500.000 und im Dezember 1 Million Tonnen. Die USA erteilten eine vorübergehende Lizenz für den zugelassenen russischen Dieselhandel. US-Diesel-Futures fielen kurzzeitig um 4,5 %, doch die Pumpenpreise lagen im Durchschnitt bei 6,28 US-Dollar pro Gallone. Die Öltransite in Hormus lagen 27 % unter den bisherigen Höchstständen, während Brent bei 104,72 US-Dollar schloss. Können neue Lieferungen die Kraftstoffkosten und die Inflation senken, oder werden Lieferrisiken und Unterbrechungen im Nahen Osten die Energiepreise hoch halten?
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may strike Iran BEFORE the midterms to PREVENT IRAN FROM STRIKING FIRST
Trita Parsi believes the timeline for another U.S. attack on Iran is accelerating, despite Trump's promise not to strike before November 3.
His reasoning is unsettling.
Washington may have concluded that Iran is preparing its own preemptive attack, potentially just days before the midterms.
That would leave Trump looking powerless at the worst possible political moment.
Parsi suspects the administration may now prefer a limited American strike first, not necessarily to win a military victory, but to retain control over when and how the confrontation begins.
Meanwhile, negotiations remain stuck over Iran's enriched uranium, with Washington demanding concessions Tehran is increasingly reluctant to make.
Parsi warns that even a supposedly limited strike could trigger retaliation neither side can contain.
And the military buildup suggests Washington is running out of patience.
The danger is that both sides may end up attacking first because each believes the other is about to do exactly that.
@tparsi
